In it to Win it

Lobo Tiggre of The Independent Speculator joins me to discuss why he is buying uranium stocks, how fiscal dominance shapes his inflation outlook, and what would get him buying another oil sell-off.

👉 https://independentspeculator.com/services/speculators-digest?ref=stevebartonmoney%40gmail.com

Recording Date 10-22-2026. In this episode, I ask Lobo where he sees opportunity amid geopolitical uncertainty, election risk, and concerns about the AI trade. We discuss fiscal dominance and why he believes enormous government deficits can overwhelm the effects of small interest rate adjustments. Using an illustrative $5 trillion in revenue versus $7 trillion in spending, we examine why inflationary pressure remains central to his outlook. We also review rising M2 money supply, revisit our premature recession calls, and discuss why Lobo prefers holding cash for opportunities rather than predicting the next market crash.

We then examine the disconnect between firm uranium prices and falling uranium equities through URNM and URNJ. Lobo explains why he is buying selected uranium stocks and sees the sell-off as a potential market mistake. We discuss Sprott Physical Uranium Trust, SRUUF, and the roughly 15% discount to NAV he last observed, while acknowledging further downside is possible. Turning to oil, we review my XLE exposure, including Exxon Mobil and Chevron. Lobo outlines a hypothetical recovery from $60 to $90 oil, a 50% increase that could potentially double selected stocks. We close with disciplined entry prices, patience, and the Casey free ride strategy.

Key Insights In This Episode

✅ Uranium stocks are Lobo's current buying focus despite the sector's continued weakness.

✅ Firm uranium prices and falling equities create what Lobo sees as a contrarian opportunity.

✅ SRUUF's roughly 15% discount was Lobo's last observation, rather than a verified current quote.

✅ Fiscal dominance underpins Lobo's inflationary outlook and preference for scarce real assets.

✅ Lobo favors buying an excessive oil sell-off while maintaining a higher-for-longer price thesis.

✅ Recovering original capital through profit-taking is central to the Casey free ride strategy.

Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:

Technical Analysis Series 

Battle Bank

Rule Symposium 2026

Rule Classroom (Free)

Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months)

TradingView (Free)

Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)

Uranium Insider Newsletter

Chapters

00:00 Lobo Tiggre on Markets and Holding Cash
04:55 Fiscal Dominance and Inflation
07:38 Why Market Crash Predictions Keep Failing
09:59 M2 Money Supply and Uranium Opportunities
14:24 Uranium Prices Versus URNM and URNJ
18:11 SRUUF and the Discount to NAV
20:04 Why Oil Could Stay Higher for Longer
22:37 Oil Buying Scenarios and Stock Upside
24:46 XLE and the Casey Free Ride
27:26 The Independent Speculator Newsletter
28:10 Premium Gold and Silver Preview

DISCLAIMER: Steve Barton and In It To Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion - not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any of these links may be affiliate links, meaning at no extra cost to you In It To Win It may get compensation. Any sponsored travel will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

#InItToWinIt #SteveBarton #LoboTiggre #Uranium #UraniumStocks #SRUUF #URNM #URNJ #NuclearEnergy #OilInvesting #XLE #ExxonMobil #Chevron #FiscalDominance #Inflation #M2MoneySupply #Gold #Silver #ContrarianInvesting #IndependentSpeculator

I'm Steve Barton, host of In It to Win It, and in this solo technical-analysis lesson I break down how to read price action using line charts, bar charts, and candlestick charts, and how those different chart styles can help identify potential market reversals, cycle highs, and cycle lows.

 Technical Analysis Series  

In this episode, I explain what each chart type tells us and why I personally prefer bar charts for analyzing open, high, low, and close data. Using URNM as the primary example, I show how bars and candles contain the same price information, how candle colors identify whether price closed above or below the open, and why line charts are more useful for long-term direction or overlaying one asset against another.

I then move into the price-action signals I use to spot potential reversals, including bullish hammers, topping tails, and doji candles. We examine URNM and uranium, including a divergence where spot uranium moved higher while uranium equities moved lower, which I view as a potential catch-up opportunity. I also show how increasing volatility and volume can warn that a cycle top is forming. Silver provides another example, including a move from roughly $106 to $121 in one session, while gold produced a $500 intraday swing and then fell more than 11% the following day. These examples show why price action can provide important warning signs before major market reversals.

Key Insights In This Episode

✅ Line, bar, and candlestick charts display price differently, but bars and candles contain the same open, high, low, and close information.

✅ Bullish hammers with the open and close near the top of the range can signal potential upside reversals.

✅ Topping tails with the open and close near the bottom of the range can warn of a potential market top.

✅ Rising volatility and increasing trading volume can provide advance warning that a cycle high is developing.

✅ Spot uranium rising while uranium equities fall creates a divergence that may lead to a catch-up move in miners.

✅ Doji candles helped warn of major reversals in silver and gold after unusually large intraday price swings.

Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:

Battle Bank 

Rule Symposium 2026

Rule Classroom (Free) 

Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 

TradingView (Free)

Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)

Uranium Insider Newsletter

Chapters

00:00 Reading Price Action
0:54 Line Charts
1:23 Reading Bar Charts
2:34 Candlestick Charts
5:02 Finding Cycle Highs and Lows
5:52 Bullish Hammer Reversals
7:02 Bearish Reversal Signals
8:02 Bullish Hammers and Topping Tails
9:42 Uranium Reversal Signal
10:02 URNM and Uranium Price Overlay
11:02 Uranium Equity Divergence
12:02 Volatility and Cycle Tops
13:02 RSI Volume and Reversal Signals
13:32 Silver Cycle Top Warning
14:02 Doji Candles
15:02 Silver Volatility Warning
15:42 Gold Cycle Top Warning
16:02 Gold Doji Candle
17:02 Gold Falls More Than 11%
17:47 Technical Analysis For Beginners

DISCLAIMER: Steve Barton and In It To Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion - not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any of these links may be affiliate links, meaning at no extra cost to you In It To Win It may get compensation. Any sponsored travel will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

#PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt #CandlestickChart #BarChart #TradingView #URNM #Uranium #UraniumStocks #Gold #Silver #GoldPrice #SilverPrice #DojiCandle #BullishHammer #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #MarketTop #Investing

I'm Steve Barton, host of In It to Win It, and in this solo technical-analysis lesson I break down one of my favorite tools for establishing take-profit targets: the trend-based Fibonacci extension.

 Technical Analysis Series  

In this episode, I show exactly how I draw Fibonacci extensions from a cycle low to a cycle high and then back to the next significant low, while explaining why it's important to consistently use either candle wicks or candle bodies. Using gold as our first example, we examine the 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, 100%, and 161.8% extension levels and how traders repeatedly reacted around these areas.

I then apply the same process to the S&P 500, showing how Fibonacci levels can help build a staged selling strategy instead of trying to guess the exact top. We map potential targets around 7,900, 8,050, and higher extension levels before moving into historical platinum bull markets. Finally, I demonstrate that Fibonacci extensions work in both directions, including using a cycle high, cycle low, and subsequent high to calculate downside profit targets for bearish trades.

Key Insights In This Episode

✅ Fibonacci extensions can establish staged profit-taking targets before a trade reaches them.

✅ Consistency matters when anchoring Fibonacci points using either candle wicks or candle bodies.

✅ The 61.8%, 100%, and 161.8% extension levels can become important support and resistance zones.

✅ Gold historically showed significant price reactions around multiple Fibonacci extension levels.

✅ S&P 500 targets demonstrate how traders can scale out instead of attempting to sell the exact top.

✅ Fibonacci extensions can also project downside targets for bearish trades and put positions.

Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:

Battle Bank 

Rule Symposium 2026

Rule Classroom (Free) 

Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 

TradingView (Free)

Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)

Uranium Insider Newsletter

Chapters

00:00 Fibonacci Extension Profit Targets
0:27 Gold Fibonacci Extension Setup
4:33 S&P 500 Fibonacci Extension
7:32 Finding New Measured Moves
9:02 Staging Your Profit Targets
12:22 Platinum Fibonacci Extension
15:50 Fibonacci Downside Targets
16:27 Technical Analysis For Beginners

DISCLAIMER: Steve Barton and In It To Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion - not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any of these links may be affiliate links, meaning at no extra cost to you In It To Win It may get compensation. Any sponsored travel will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

#FibonacciExtension #FibonacciTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt #TradingView #Gold #GoldPrice #SP500 #Platinum #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #PriceTargets #ProfitTaking #Fibonacci #ChartAnalysis #StockTrading #Investing #SupportAndResistance #TradingEducation

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Recording Date 10-2-2026. This week I start with the S&P 500, where I see a possible short-term pullback before the broader move continues higher, then move to the DXY and the 10-year, 20-year and 30-year Treasury yields, which are pushing levels not seen in decades. Gold fell 3.7%, and I'm watching roughly $3,950 as critical support, while PHYS is approaching my full-allocation buy level. GDX dropped 5.5%, with $84 as my next preferred limit-order area. Silver fell 6.8%, with support near $58 and $54, while PSLV and SILJ are moving toward increasingly attractive buying zones. Copper dropped 3.2%, and COPX bounced near its 200-day moving average, where I took a small position.

Uranium gained 0.5%, and this remains the setup I'm most excited about. I added to SRUUF and took a larger position in URNM as sentiment approaches capitulation and the charts begin showing potential bottoming patterns. WTI crude oil fell 1.3% while Brent crude climbed 5.1%, creating an unusual divergence, and I remain cautious on XLE in the near term. Natural gas dropped 4.3%, but the technical setup remains constructive, while FCG is sitting near one of my favorite Fibonacci and 200-day moving-average setups. I also cover Pacific thermal coal, Atlantic thermal coal, metallurgical coal and the coal ETF, before moving into platinum, which fell 4.4%, and palladium, which dropped 8.1%. Finally, nickel futures fell 5.2%, while PICK bounced near its 61.8% retracement and rising 200-day moving average, creating what I believe is an attractive entry setup.

Key Insights in this episode

✅ Gold fell 3.7% with $3,950 becoming my critical support level and a roughly 75% chance of holding from here.

✅ Silver dropped 6.8% with support near $58 and $54 if the precious-metals correction continues.

✅ GDX fell 5.5% with $84 as my next preferred limit-order area and roughly $77.50 below that.

✅ Uranium gained 0.5% while I added to both SRUUF and URNM amid increasingly negative investor sentiment.

✅ WTI fell 1.3% while Brent gained 5.1%, and natural gas produced one of my favorite technical setups of the week.

✅ Coal, platinum, palladium and nickel remain mixed to weak while PICK is sitting near what I believe is an attractive entry.

Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:

Technical Analysis Series 

Battle Bank 

Rule Symposium 2026

Rule Classroom (Free) 

Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months) 

TradingView (Free)

Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)

Uranium Insider Newsletter

Chapters

0:00 Taking Two Weeks Off and What's Ahead

0:56 S&P 500 DXY and Treasury Yields Flash Warning Signs

3:52 Gold PHYS and GDX Approach Major Buying Levels

9:28 Silver PSLV and SILJ Test Critical Support

12:32 Copper and COPX Bounce From Key Support

13:34 Uranium Capitulation Creates a Major Buying Opportunity

18:27 WTI Brent and XLE Send Conflicting Oil Signals

21:43 Natural Gas and FCG Set Up at Fibonacci Support

24:12 Coal Markets Send Mixed Technical Signals

25:29 Platinum and Palladium Search for a Bottom

26:38 Nickel Breaks Down and Targets Lower Support

27:07 PICK ETF Bounces From the 200 Day Moving Average

27:43 Final Thoughts and What's Coming Next

DISCLAIMER: Steve Barton and In It To Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion - not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any of these links may be affiliate links, meaning at no extra cost to you In It To Win It may get compensation. Any sponsored travel will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

#MondayMarketMoves #InItToWinIt #SteveBarton #Gold #Silver #Uranium #GoldPrice #SilverPrice #UraniumStocks #GoldStocks #MiningStocks #Commodities #PreciousMetals #NaturalGas #CrudeOil #Copper #Platinum #Palladium #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing

Justin Huhn of UraniumInsider.com, our resident uranium expert, joins me to break down the uranium market from the physical commodity all the way through producers, developers, junior miners, and the forces driving the next stage of this bull market. 

👉 Uranium Insider Newsletter 

Recording Date 09-30-2026. In this episode, Justin explains why global reactor demand is now running above 200 million pounds while primary mine supply is only around 175 million pounds, leaving what he estimates is a 15 to 20 million pound shortfall in 2026 even after accounting for secondary supply. We also dig into the difference between the roughly $89 spot uranium price and the $96.50 reported term price, why the real forward market is already above $100 per pound, and why thin spot liquidity can make the headline uranium price misleading. Justin also explains why traders appear to be holding material for higher prices rather than dumping it into the market.

We then look at one of the most important pieces of the uranium thesis right now: utility contracting. Justin explains why falling U.S. forward coverage does not mean reactors are about to run out of fuel, but it does create future demand that eventually has to be filled. We discuss China's aggressive uranium buying, its growing reactor fleet, AI and data-center electricity demand, geothermal and thorium, and why Justin believes investors are focusing too much on the connection between AI stocks and uranium equities. From an investment standpoint, Justin calls SPUT at roughly a 13% to 14% discount to NAV the "fat pitch" in the sector, while pointing out that URNJ relative to URA is sitting near an all-time low. Most importantly, he explains why rising uranium mine supply has actually strengthened his conviction: supply has increased dramatically, yet uranium has still moved from roughly $45 to around $90. In Justin's view, that is one of the clearest signs that the market remains structurally undersupplied.

Key Insights In This Episode

✅ Uranium demand exceeds 200 million pounds while primary mine supply sits near 175 million pounds

✅ Justin estimates a 15 to 20 million pound uranium shortfall in 2026 after secondary supply and demand

✅ Forward uranium markets are already above $100 per pound even with spot uranium near $89

✅ U.S. utilities have major future contracting requirements but reactors are not at risk of suddenly running out of fuel

✅ Justin calls SPUT near a 13% to 14% NAV discount the strongest risk-reward opportunity in uranium

✅ Uranium mine supply has risen nearly 50% from prior lows while the uranium price has roughly doubled

Affiliates /Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful:

Technical Analysis Series 

Battle Bank

Rule Symposium 2026

Rule Classroom (Free)

Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months)

TradingView (Free)

Lobo's Weekly Recap (Free)

Uranium Insider Newsletter

Chapters

00:00 Uranium Supply And Demand

3:22 What Really Sets Uranium Prices

6:11 Spot Price Versus Term Price

11:50 Why The Uranium Forward Curve Matters

14:51 U.S. Utility Contract Coverage

28:35 Could Geothermal Disrupt Nuclear

30:52 Physical Uranium Versus Uranium Stocks

35:34 URNJ Versus URA

40:12 Uranium Supply Has Responded

43:53 Why NexGen Supply Is Not Bearish

46:08 Inside Uranium Insider

48:26 Premium Interview Preview

DISCLAIMER: Steve Barton and In It To Win It are not registered investment advisers or broker-dealers. This is general, impersonal education and opinion - not individualized financial advice. Stocks, price levels, position sizes, and personal trades are not instructions to act. Investing involves risk, including total loss. I may own and trade securities discussed. Any of these links may be affiliate links, meaning at no extra cost to you In It To Win It may get compensation. Any sponsored travel will be disclosed. Information may change without notice. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed professional. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

#Uranium #UraniumInvesting #NuclearEnergy #JustinHuhn #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt #UraniumInsider #SPUT #URNJ #URA #Cameco #Kazatomprom #NexGenEnergy #UraniumStocks #NuclearPower #EnergyInvesting #Commodities #UraniumPrice #UraniumMarket #MiningStocks